NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2, 2023

September 6, 2023

2023 NFL Picks: 0-0 ($0)

NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Sept. X, 2:00 p.m. ET.

Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 2 NFL Picks – Late Games

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 2 Early Games

Minnesota Vikings (0-0) at Philadelphia Eagles (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Thursday, Sept. 14, 8:15 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Eagles -7.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Green Bay Packers (0-0) at Atlanta Falcons (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Sunday, Sept. 17, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Falcons -1.5.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

Falcons are 7-25 ATS at home immediately following a home win the previous 32 instances. ???Matt LaFleur is 12-3 ATS after a loss. ??? Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Las Vegas Raiders (0-0) at Buffalo Bills (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Sunday, Sept. 17, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Bills -8.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

Raiders are 32-52 ATS after a win since 2009. ???Josh Allen is 9-4 ATS off a loss since his second season. ??? Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Baltimore Ravens (0-0) at Cincinnati Bengals (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Sunday, Sept. 17, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Bengals -3.5.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

History: Bengals have won 4 of the last 5 meetings.Joe Burrow is 32-12* ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown (3-5 ATS otherwise).Joe Burrow is 13-3 ATS after a loss. ??? Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Seattle Seahawks (0-0) at Detroit Lions (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Sunday, Sept. 17, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Lions -3.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

Lions are 20-8 ATS after losing by 20+ points since 2007. ??? Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Indianapolis Colts (0-0) at Houston Texans (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Sunday, Sept. 17, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Texans -1.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

History: Colts have won 31 of the 41 meetings, excluding a 2022 tie. Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Kansas City Chiefs (0-0) at Jacksonville Jaguars (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Sunday, Sept. 17, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -3.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

Patrick Mahomes is 72-18* SU, 48-41* ATS (37-29 ATS when not favored by double digits.)Patrick Mahomes is 9-7 ATS after a loss. ???Jaguars are 56-100 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008. Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Chicago Bears (0-0) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Sunday, Sept. 17, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Bears -1.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

Road Team is 122-86* ATS in Buccaneers games since 2009.Bears are 19-12 ATS after losing to the Packers since 1992. ???Buccaneers are 37-66 ATS at home in the previous 103 instances.Buccaneers are 10-29 ATS as a home underdog since 2009. ??? Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Los Angeles Chargers (0-0) at Tennessee Titans (0-0)
Line: . Total: .
Sunday, Sept. 17, 1:00 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

 

 

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chargers -3.5.
Computer Model: .

 

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

Justin Herbert is 9-13* ATS as a favorite of -3 or more. ???Mike Vrabel is 22-9* ATS as an underdog of 3+ points. Opening Line: . Opening Total: . Weather: .

Week 2 NFL Pick:

 

 

Week 2 NFL Picks – Late Games
49ers at Rams, Giants at Cardinals, Jets at Cowboys, Redskins at Broncos, Dolphins at Patriots, Saints at Panthers, Browns at Steelers

 

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 2 NFL Picks – Late Games

Fantasy Football Rankings – Sept. 6

NFL Picks – Sept. 6

2024 NFL Mock Draft – July 25

NFL Power Rankings – June 2

SUB MENU

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week’s NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 22, 2022 & Futures): 0-1 (+$4,600)

Last Week’s 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 22, 2022): 0-0 ($0)

Last Week’s 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 22, 2022): 0-0 ($0)


Last Week Over-Under (Week 22, 2022): 0-1 ($0)

Last Week’s Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 22, 2022 & Futures): +$4,830

2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)

2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)

2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)

2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)

2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)

2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)

2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)

2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)

2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)

2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)

2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)

2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,296-3,031-188, 52.1% (+$29,430)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,065-950-51 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 525-458-24 (53.4%)
Career Over-Under: 2,727-2,715-71 (50.1%)

Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-32-1 (59.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not
displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 7-12
Bears: 8-7
Bucs: 8-10
49ers: 11-9
Eagles: 11-9
Lions: 11-6
Falcons: 11-4
Cardinals: 8-9
Giants: 7-12
Packers: 10-7
Panthers: 11-6
Rams: 7-10
Redskins: 5-12
Vikings: 12-6
Saints: 12-5
Seahawks: 10-8
Bills: 8-8
Bengals: 11-8
Colts: 10-7
Broncos: 6-11
Dolphins: 12-6
Browns: 7-9
Jaguars: 8-11
Chargers: 10-6
Jets: 7-10
Ravens: 10-7
Texans: 7-9
Chiefs: 15-5
Patriots: 7-9
Steelers: 11-5
Titans: 9-7
Raiders: 8-9
Divisional: 56-41 (2011-21: 502-485)
2x Game Edge: 27-28 (2011-21: 336-333)
2x Motivation Edge: 37-39 (2011-21: 441-366)
2x Spread Edge: 44-39 (2011-21: 153-129)
2x Vegas Edge: 26-27 (2011-21: 381-399)
2x Trend Edge: 20-20 (2011-21: 286-259)
Double Edge: 18-17 (2011-21: 172-155)
Triple Edge: 1-4 (2011-21: 31-32)

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XXXVIII

2004 Preseason:

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XXXIX

2005 Preseason:

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XL

2006 Preseason:

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XLI

2007 Preseason:

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XLIII |

2009 Season:

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XLIV |

2010 Preseason:

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2011 Preseason:

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XLVI |

2012 Preseason:

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2012 Season:

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Super Bowl XLVII NFL Pick

2013 Preseason:

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2013 Season:

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Super Bowl XLVIII NFL Pick

2014 Preseason:

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2014 Season:

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Week 20 NFL Picks

Super Bowl XLIX Pick

2015 Preseason:

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2015 Season:

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Week 20 NFL Picks

Super Bowl 50 NFL Pick

2016 Preseason:

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2016 Season:

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Super Bowl LI NFL Pick

2017 Preseason:

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