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Team-by-Team NFL Trends

Arizona Cardinals

Cardinals are 32-26 ATS in December/January home games since 2000.
Cardinals are 42-31 ATS at home as underdogs or favorites of less than -3 since 2007.
Cardinals are 6-16 ATS as favorites of 7.5 or more the previous 21 instances.

Atlanta Falcons

Falcons are 35-26 ATS following a loss of 6+ in the previous 60 instances.
Falcons are 7-25 ATS at home immediately following a home win the previous 32 instances.

Mike Smith is 5-1 ATS on the West Coast.

Baltimore Ravens

Ravens are 5-12 ATS on the West Coast in franchise history.
John Harbaugh is 12-4 ATS in Week 1 games.
John Harbaugh is 15-7 ATS following a loss of 10+.
John Harbaugh is 14-2 SU at home vs. rookie quarterbacks.
Lamar Jackson is 9-3 ATS as a favorite of 10+.
Lamar Jackson is 7-16 ATS as a home favorite of 3.5+, not counting Week 1.

Buffalo Bills

Bills are 12-37 ATS after playing the Miami Dolphins since 1998.
Bills are 24-17 ATS after playing the New England Patriots since 1999.
Bills are 27-43 ATS in their last 70 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Bills are 1-4 ATS in Canada.
Josh Allen is 9-4 ATS off a loss since his second season.

Carolina Panthers

Chicago Bears

Bears are 19-12 ATS after losing to the Packers since 1992.
Bears are 22-41 ATS in December road games the previous 63 instances.

John Fox is 8-5 ATS in the playoffs.
John Fox is 10-3 ATS on the West Coast.
John Fox is 9-5 ATS in Week 17 games.

Cincinnati Bengals

Bengals are 21-9 ATS against the Steelers if they lost to them previously the same season in the last 29 instances.
Joe Burrow is 32-12 ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown (3-5 ATS otherwise).
Joe Burrow is 13-3 ATS after a loss.

Cleveland Browns

Kevin Stefanski is 9-18 ATS as a favorite.

Dallas Cowboys

Cowboys are 9-12 ATS as a Thanksgiving host since 2001.
Cowboys are 23-14 ATS after playing the Eagles since 2000.
Cowboys are 31-40 ATS as home favorites in Cowboys Stadium (excluding Thanksgiving).
Cowboys are 31-40 ATS when favored after a win since 2010.
The underdog is 116-90 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.

Tony Romo is 10-2 ATS after the Cowboys have allowed 35+ points.
Tony Romo is 14-24 ATS as a starter after Nov. 30 (4-8 ATS as an underdog).
Tony Romo is 9-21 ATS as a favorite of -7 or more excluding Thanksgiving (4-2 on Thanksgiving).
Tony Romo is 1-9 ATS on Monday Night Football.

Denver Broncos

Broncos are 32-17 ATS as home underdogs since 1991.
Broncos are 2-23 SU in December games at Arrowhead.
Russell Wilson is 32-13 ATS after a loss since his second season.
Russell Wilson is 31-14 ATS as an underdog.
Russell Wilson is 24-15 ATS in night games.

Detroit Lions

Lions are 18-23 ATS on the road vs. teams with winning records since 2011.
Lions are 7-10 ATS as a Thanksgiving host since 2002.
Lions are 24-8 ATS on the road after a home loss of 10+.
Lions are 20-8 ATS after losing by 20+ points since 2007.
Lions are 7-11 ATS before their Thanksgiving game since 2005.
Dan Campbell is 16-4 ATS as an underdog of 4+.

Green Bay Packers

Packers are 40-23 ATS in December/January home games since 2000.
Packers are 62-37 ATS in divisional games since 2006.
Packers are 7-4 ATS as home underdogs since 2007.
Matt LaFleur is 12-3 ATS after a loss.

Houston Texans

Texans are 55-44 ATS after two or more consecutive losses (8-11 ATS as favorites).

Indianapolis Colts

Matt Ryan is 22-12 ATS in night games.

Philip Rivers is 14-6 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more.
Philip Rivers is 27-12 ATS as a road underdog of 3.5 or more.
Philip Rivers is 6-10 ATS off a bye.
Andrew Luck is 23-9 ATS off a loss.
Andrew Luck is 28-16 ATS at home.
Andrew Luck is 8-1 ATS as a home underdog.
Andrew Luck is 20-9 ATS against divisional opponents.
Andrew Luck is 14-8 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 or more since 2013.

Chuck Pagano is 3-9 ATS in the first two weeks of the season.

Jacksonville Jaguars

Jaguars are 11-3 ATS before playing the arch rival Colts since 2004. *** Peyton Manning era ***
Jaguars are 1-8 ATS as favorites after playing the Colts since 2002. *** Peyton Manning era ***
Jaguars are 9-17 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or more since 2003.
Jaguars are 56-100 ATS against non-divisional opponents since 2008.
Jaguars are 16-50 ATS vs. NFC opponents since 2007.
Jaguars are 12-27 ATS as home favorites since 2008.
Jaguars are 5-10 ATS as favorites of -7 or more coming off a loss.

Kansas City Chiefs

Chiefs are 9-3 ATS as home underdogs of 6+ since 1989.
Chiefs are 13-31 ATS as home underdogs of 1-5.5 points since 2007.
Chiefs are 21-12 ATS in season openers at home since 1971.
Chiefs are 15-6 ATS as a double-digit underdog since 2006.
Andy Reid is 7-4 ATS in Week 1 games with the Chiefs.
Andy Reid is 13-5 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more since 2000.
Andy Reid is 18-11 ATS off a bye.
Andy Reid is 9-14 ATS two weeks after the bye.
Sean Payton is 9-3 SU vs. Andy Reid when coaching a winning team.
Patrick Mahomes is 72-19 SU, 48-42 ATS (37-30 ATS when not favored by double digits.)
Patrick Mahomes is 5-0 ATS in the initial divisional matchup of the year as long as he’s not favored by -7 or more.
Patrick Mahomes is 9-7 ATS after a loss.

Las Vegas Raiders

Raiders are 18-13 ATS as double-digit underdogs since 2008.
Raiders are 17-33 ATS as home favorites since November 2005.
Raiders are 5-14 ATS in the final week of the season since 2003.
Raiders are 32-52 ATS after a win since 2009.
Derek Carr is 6-17 ATS as a favorite of 3.5+.
Derek Carr is 6-11 ATS as a road favorite.

Jon Gruden is 5-1 SU (5-1 ATS) vs. Andy Reid.

Jack Del Rio is 2-9 ATS in Week 17 games.

Los Angeles Chargers

Chargers are 18-26 ATS in San Angeles.
Justin Herbert is 5-0-1 ATS as an underdog of 6+.
Justin Herbert is 9-14 ATS as a favorite of -3 or more.

Los Angeles Rams

Sean McVay is 6-1 ATS in Week 1 games.

Jeff Fisher is 8-2 ATS off a bye in the regular season since 2002.
Jeff Fisher is 55-42 ATS as an underdog since 2006.

Miami Dolphins

Dolphins are 28-15 ATS as a road underdog of less than 5 since 2008.
Dolphins are 22-8 ATS as a home underdog after two straight losses the previous 30 instances.
Dolphins are 27-44 ATS at home against teams with losing records since 2003.

Jay Cutler is 10-7 ATS on Monday Night Football.
Jay Cutler is 47-79 ATS if you exclude Monday Night Football.

Minnesota Vikings

Vikings are 41-32 ATS at home since 2014 (10-17 ATS since 2020).
Vikings are 12-29 ATS in their road finale since 1980.

Mike Zimmer is 75-54 ATS as head coach of the Vikings.
Mike Zimmer is 19-12 ATS as an underdog of 3.5+.
Mike Zimmer is 13-9 ATS with extra time to prepare since 2015.

New England Patriots

Patriots are 29-15 ATS on the road vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
Patriots are 44-27 ATS in December & January home games since 2000.
Patriots are 15-5 ATS in the final week of the season since 2001.

Bill Belichick is 17-4 ATS against a team after losing to them by 14+ in the previous matchup.

Cam Newton is 11-4 ATS as an underdog of 6+ since his second season.

New Orleans Saints

Saints are 3-18 ATS in Weeks 1-2 since 2013.

Saints are 19-9 ATS in night home games in the Drew Brees era.
Drew Brees is 55-33 ATS as an underdog.
Drew Brees is 57-35 ATS off back-to-back wins.
Drew Brees is 47-28 ATS after a loss with the Saints (14-7 ATS as an underdog).
Drew Brees is 20-8 ATS after two consecutive losses.
Drew Brees is 10-3 ATS as a home underdog with the Saints.
Drew Brees is 8-1 ATS as an underdog of 6.5 or more with the Saints.

New York Giants

Giants are 22-30 ATS as favorites of 6.5 or more the previous 52 instances.

New York Jets

Jets are 21-9 ATS at home following a home loss in the last 30 instances.
Aaron Rodgers is 128-88 ATS since 2009.
Aaron Rodgers is 30-19 ATS as an underdog.
Aaron Rodgers is 39-20 ATS after a loss (14-8 ATS as a favorite of 7.5+).
Aaron Rodgers is 5-1 ATS as a home underdog.

Philadelphia Eagles

Eagles are 38-28 ATS as road underdogs since 2005.
Eagles are 7-16 ATS before playing the Giants since December 2010.

Pittsburgh Steelers

Steelers are 12-6 ATS at home on Monday Night Football the previous 18 instances.
Steelers are 29-16 ATS on the road off a home division win the previous 45 instances.
Steelers are 42-21 ATS in December/January home games since 2000.
Steelers are 4-16 ATS on the road as favorites of -10 or more since 1990.
Steelers are 14-29 ATS as road favorites coming off a win under Mike Tomlin.
Mike Tomlin is 9-23 ATS as a favorite after a win of 14+ in the regular season unless a bye is coming up.
Mike Tomlin is 52-30 ATS as an underdog.

Steelers are 5-3 ATS when Ben Roethlisbeger misses his first non-Week 17 game.
Steelers are 9-2 ATS after losing by 20+ in the Ben Roethlisberger era.
Ben Roethlisberger is 57-36 ATS vs. the AFC North.
Ben Roethlisberger is 10-2 ATS as a home underdog.
Ben Roethlisberger is 10-8 ATS in the playoffs (7-6 as a favorite).

QBDK is 5-17 ATS since 2012.

San Francisco 49ers

49ers are 40-29 ATS as favorites in night games since 1989.

49ers are 10-6 ATS with Jim Harbaugh off extra rest.

Seattle Seahawks

Seahawks are 41-32 ATS in Week 11 or later since 2013.
Seahawks are 29-19 ATS in September home games since 2000.
Seahawks are 56-44 ATS as home favorites since 2007.
Seahawks are 20-7 ATS as home underdogs since 2009.
Seahawks are 7-15 ATS as a favorite of 6+ since 2017.

Tampa Bay Buccaneers

Buccaneers are 37-66 ATS at home in the previous 103 instances.
Buccaneers are 10-29 ATS as a home underdog since 2009.
Buccaneers are 10-30 SU on the West Coast in franchise history.
Road Team is 123-86 ATS in Buccaneers games since 2009.

Tom Brady is 283-96 as a starter (209-154 ATS).
Tom Brady is 195-139 against the spread since 2003.
Tom Brady is 129-90 ATS in non-divisional games.
Tom Brady is 12-5 ATS in an initial divisional matchup of the season if he’s not favored by -7 or more.

Tom Brady is 35-11 in the playoffs (24-22 ATS).
Tom Brady is 18-8 ATS in domes.
Tom Brady is 10-4 ATS as a home underdog.
Tom Brady is 13-9 ATS as a favorite of fewer than 3 points.
Tom Brady is 49-27 ATS off a loss (11-15 ATS as -7 or more; 16-1 ATS as an underdog).
Tom Brady is 7-4 ATS after losing to the Dolphins.
Tom Brady is 7-9 ATS at Miami.
Tom Brady is 4-7 ATS at Denver.
Tom Brady is 24-15 ATS as an underdog since 2003.
Tom Brady is 22-17 ATS on Sunday Night Football.
Tom Brady is 13-6 ATS heading into a regular-season bye.

Tennessee Titans

Titans are 28-20 ATS in non-conference home games.
Mike Vrabel is 23-9 ATS as an underdog of 3+ points.
Mike Vrabel is 4-7 ATS as a favorite of 7 or more.

Dick LeBeau is 22-3 SU vs. rookie quarterbacks.
Mike Munchak is 6-14 ATS playing a team with a winning record.

Washington Redskins

Redskins are 16-9 ATS after losing to the Cowboys since 1997.
Redskins are 19-31 ATS after a road win since 2000.
Redskins are 11-25 ATS in September home games since 2001.
Redskins are 10-26 ATS as home favorites of more than 4 since 2000.
Redskins are 1-18 ATS in Monday Night Football home games since 1998.

Mike Shanahan is 6-2 vs. Bill Belichick since 2001.

Old NFL Coach Trends

Brian Billick

Brian Billick is 5-1 ATS (4-2 SU) vs. Mike Shanahan.

Bill Cowher

Bill Cowher is 12-3 ATS in his final home game of the season.

Tony Dungy

Tony Dungy is 1-4 ATS (2-3 SU) on the West Coast as Colts head coach.

Bill Parcells

Bill Parcells is 6-2 ATS in home finales.

Mike Shanahan

Other NFL Trends

First-year head coaches are 8-20 ATS on Thursday Night Football.
Third Time’s a Charm: 0-2 Teams that made the playoffs the previous year are 16-7 ATS in Week 3 since 2003 (7-3 as favorites).
Super Bowl Loser Syndrome: Super Bowl losers are 5-22 ATS in their first game the following season.
Worst Bye: Playoff teams coming off byes are 19-32 ATS since 2003.
Road Warriors: Playoff teams coming off a road win in Round 1 are 14-4 ATS in Round 2 since 2005.
Triple Debaclation: Teams are 13-7 SU vs. opponents in the playoffs after beating them twice in that regular season.
Zero Heroes: 0-4 teams or worse are 12-6 ATS as favorites since 2002.
Teams that get their first win after an 0-8 start or worse are 5-0 ATS in their next game since 2002.
Third Thanksgiving hosts are 4-3 ATS (4-0 if .500 or better).
Underdogs of 10+ on Thursday Night Football coming off standard rest are 7-14 ATS since 1992.
Teams off overtime games are 6-27 ATS on Thursday night since 1989.