NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6, 2023: Late Games

NFL Picks (Preseason 2023): 4-7 (-$905)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2023): 10-6 (+$760)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2023): 8-7-1 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2023): 12-4 (-$995)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2023): 6-8-2 (+$440)

2023 NFL Picks: 40-32-3 (-$1,135)

2022 NFL Picks: 154-134-8 (+$9,860)

2021 NFL Picks: 153-141-2 (+$210)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
If you don’t quite understand the line, total or anything else, go to my
Sports Betting FAQ.

Vegas betting action updated Oct. 2, 1:30 p.m. ET.
Follow @walterfootball for updates.

Go to Week 6 NFL Picks – Early Games

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 6 Late Games

New England Patriots (1-4) at Las Vegas Raiders (1-3*)
Line: Raiders by 3. Total: 42.5.

Sunday, Oct. 15, 4:05 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Raiders -1.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: Patriots.

Bill Belichick is 35-15 ATS after losing as a favorite.
Raiders are 17-34 ATS as home favorites since November 2005. ???
Raiders are 32-53 ATS after a win since 2009. ???
Opening Line: Raiders -3.
Opening Total: 42.5.

Weather: Dome.

Week 6 NFL Pick:

Detroit Lions (4-1) at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (3-1)
Line: Lions by 3. Total: 45.5.

Sunday, Oct. 15, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Lions -3.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Buccaneers are 38-67 ATS at home in the previous 105 instances.
Buccaneers are 10-30 ATS as a home underdog since 2009.
Opening Line: Lions -3.
Opening Total: 45.5.

Weather: .

Week 6 NFL Pick:

Arizona Cardinals (1-4) at Los Angeles Rams (2-3)
Line: Rams by 6. Total: 47.

Sunday, Oct. 15, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Rams -4.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: .

History: Rams have won 11 of the last 14 meetings.

Opening Line: Rams -6.
Opening Total: 47.

Weather: Dome.

Week 6 NFL Pick:

Philadelphia Eagles (5-0) at New York Jets (2-3)
Line: Eagles by 6. Total: 42.5.

Sunday, Oct. 15, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Eagles -6.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Opening Line: Eagles -6.
Opening Total: 42.

Weather: .

Week 6 NFL Pick:

New York Giants (1-4) at Buffalo Bills (3-2)
Line: Bills by 14.5. Total: 46.5.

Sunday, Oct. 15, 8:20 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Bills -12.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: Bills.

Josh Allen is 10-4 ATS off a loss since his second season.
Opening Line: Bills -14.5.
Opening Total: 46.5.

Weather: .

Week 6 NFL Pick:

Dallas Cowboys (3-2) at Los Angeles Chargers (2-2)
Line: Cowboys by 2.5. Total: 48.

Monday, Oct. 16, 8:15 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: .

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Cowboys -2.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Percentage of money on TEAM: X% (Y bets)

The Trends. Edge: Chargers.

The underdog is 117-92 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.
Opening Line: Cowboys -2.5.
Opening Total: 47.5.

Weather: .

Week 6 NFL Pick:

week 6 NFL Picks – Early Games

Broncos at Chiefs, Ravens at Titans, Redskins at Falcons, Vikings at Bears, Seahawks at Bengals, 49ers at Browns, Panthers at Dolphins, Colts at Jaguars, Saints at Texans

LOADING COMMENTS…

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks

A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted
whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 6 NFL Picks – Early Games

NFL Picks – Oct. 8

2024 NFL Mock Draft – Oct. 4

Fantasy Football Rankings – Sept. 7

NFL Power Rankings – June 2

SUB MENU

Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week’s NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 3, 2023): 12-4 (-$995)

Last Week’s 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 3, 2023): 3-1 (+$580)

Last Week’s 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 3, 2023): 1-2 (-$750)

Last Week Over-Under (Week 3, 2023): 8-8 ($0)

Last Week’s Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 3, 2023): -$25

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 0-2, 0% (-$1,440)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 34-24-1, 58.6% (-$1,575)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 7-5, 58.3% (+$515)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 7-5, 58.3% (+$410)
2023 Season Over-Under: 22-26, 45.8% ($0)

2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$520

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)

2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)

2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)

2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)

2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)

2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)

2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)

2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)

2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)

2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)

2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)

2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,330-3,055-189, 52.2% (+$27,855)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,072-955-51 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 532-463-24 (53.5%)
Career Over-Under: 2,749-2,742-71 (50.1%)

Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-32-1 (59.0%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not
displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 1-2

Bears: 2-1

Bucs: 2-1

49ers: 2-1

Eagles: 1-1

Lions: 1-2

Falcons: 2-1

Cardinals: 2-1

Giants: 2-1

Packers: 3-0

Panthers: 2-1

Rams: 3-0