NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8, 2023: Late Games

NFL Picks (Preseason 2023): 4-7 (-$905)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2023): 10-6 (+$760)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2023): 8-7-1 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2023): 12-4 (-$995)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2023): 6-8-2 (+$440)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2023): 5-9 (-$2,110)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2023): 6-8-1 (-$2,230)

2023 NFL Picks: 51-49-4 (-$5,475)

NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
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Vegas betting action updated Oct. 23, 12:45 p.m. ET.
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Go to Week 8 NFL Picks – Early Games

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 8 Late Games

Cleveland Browns (4-2) at Seattle Seahawks (4-2)
Line: Seahawks by 2.5. Total: 40.5.

Sunday, Oct. 29, 4:05 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Seahawks -1.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: Browns.

All the money on the Seahawks.

Percentage of money on Seattle: 88% (5,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Seahawks.

Seahawks are 57-44 ATS as home favorites since 2007.
Opening Line: Seahawks -2.
Opening Total: 41.5.

Weather: .

Week 8 NFL Pick:

Kansas City Chiefs (6-1) at Denver Broncos (2-5)
Line: Chiefs by 8.5. Total: 45.5.

Sunday, Oct. 29, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: Broncos.

The Chiefs just had a big statement win. Now, after this game against a team they’ve already beaten, they have to fly to Germany to battle the Dolphins.

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chiefs -8.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Equal action.

Percentage of money on Denver: 51% (5,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Broncos.

History: Chiefs have won the last 16 meetings.
Patrick Mahomes is 77-19 SU, 52-43 ATS (39-31 ATS when not favored by double digits.)
Patrick Mahomes is 5-9 ATS as a road favorite of 7+.
Sean Payton is 13-4 ATS in same-season revenge games.
Broncos are 33-17 ATS as home underdogs since 1991.
Russell Wilson is 32-15 ATS as an underdog.
Opening Line: Chiefs -8.5.
Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: .

Week 8 NFL Pick:

Cincinnati Bengals (3-3) at San Francisco 49ers (5-1*)
Line: 49ers by 5.5. Total: 45.5.

Sunday, Oct. 29, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: 49ers -6.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: None.

Equal action.

Percentage of money on San Francisco: 51% (2,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: None.

Joe Burrow is 34-16 ATS when not favored by more than a touchdown (3-5 ATS otherwise).
Brock Purdy is 12-1* SU, 10-3* ATS.
Opening Line: 49ers -6.
Opening Total: 45.5.

Weather: .

Week 8 NFL Pick:

Baltimore Ravens (5-2) at Arizona Cardinals (1-6)
Line: Ravens by 8. Total: 44.

Sunday, Oct. 29, 4:25 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: Cardinals.

The Ravens are off a big statement game victory. It seems unlikely that they’ll take the Cardinals seriously.

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Ravens -7.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: Cardinals.

No surprise here.

Percentage of money on Baltimore: 86% (8,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Cardinals.

Lamar Jackson is 9-3 ATS as a favorite of 10+. ???
Cardinals are 44-31 ATS at home as underdogs or favorites of less than -3 since 2007.
Opening Line: Ravens -7.5.
Opening Total: 43.5.

Weather: .

Week 8 NFL Pick:

Chicago Bears (2-5) at Los Angeles Chargers (2-4)
Line: Chargers by 8.5. Total: 44.5.

Sunday, Oct. 29, 8:20 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: Bears.

The Chargers put everything they had into the Chiefs game. Now, they’re big favorites over a non-conference opponent.

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Chargers -9.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: Bears.

Justin Herbert versus Tyson Bagent seems easy.

Percentage of money on San Angeles: 88% (4,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Bears.

Chargers are 18-26 ATS in San Angeles.
Justin Herbert is 9-15 ATS as a favorite of -3 or more.
Opening Line: Chargers -8.5.
Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: .

Week 8 NFL Pick:

Las Vegas Raiders (3-4) at Detroit Lions (5-2)
Line: Lions by 7.5. Total: 44.5.

Monday, Oct. 30, 8:15 PM

The Matchup. Edge: .

The Motivation. Edge: None.

No edge found.

The Spread. Edge: .

WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .

Westgate Advance Point Spread: Lions -7.5.

Computer Model: .

The Vegas. Edge: Raiders.

Why would anyone bet the Raiders?

Percentage of money on Detroit: 99% (8,000 bets)

The Trends. Edge: Lions.

Lions are 20-8 ATS after losing by 20+ points since 2007.
Opening Line: Lions -7.5.
Opening Total: 44.5.

Weather: .

Week 8 NFL Pick:

week 8 NFL Picks – Early Games

Buccaneers at Bills, Rams at Cowboys, Vikings at Packers, Falcons at Titans, Saints at Colts, Patriots at Dolphins, Jets at Giants, Jaguars at Steelers, Eagles at Redskins, Texans at Panthers

LOADING COMMENTS…

Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks

A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted
whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.

Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 8 NFL Picks – Early Games

NFL Picks – Oct. 23

2024 NFL Mock Draft – Oct. 18

Fantasy Football Rankings – Sept. 7

NFL Power Rankings – June 2

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Note: For legality purposes, this Web site does not promote or advocate gambling. This is solely for entertainment purposes only.

Last Week’s NFL Picks Against The Spread (Week 6, 2023): 6-8-1 (-$2,230)

Last Week’s 2-3 Unit NFL Picks (Week 6, 2023): 4-2-1 (+$375)

Last Week’s 4-5 Unit NFL Picks (Week 6, 2023): 0-2 (-$970)

Last Week Over-Under (Week 6, 2023): 11-4 (+$50)

Last Week’s Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks (Week 6, 2023): -$765

2023 NFL Picks of the Month: 0-3, 0% (-$2,360)

2023 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 51-49-3, 51.0% (-$5,475)
2023 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 14-12-1, 53.9% (-$5)
2023 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 10-12, 45.5% (-$1,795)
2023 Season Over-Under: 47-46, 50.5% (+$100)

2023 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$995

1999 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 27-41-3 (39.7%)
2000 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 128-123-8 (51.0%)
2001 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 127-122-7 (51.0%)
2002 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 123-136-7 (47.5%)
2003 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 146-126-8 (53.7%)
2004 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 157-123-8 (56.1%)
2005 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 156-126-11 (55.3%)
2006 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-135-9 (52.8%)
2007 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 162-135-10, 54.5% (+$3,585)
2008 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-140-7, 51.4% (+$6,105)
2009 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 151-124-9, 54.9% (+$4,235)
2010 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$5,880)
2011 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-133-12, 50.7% (-$1,335)
2012 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 130-145-8, 47.3% (-$7,445)
2013 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 144-131-8, 52.4% (+$7,825)
2014 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 143-133-7, 51.8% (-$1,885)
2015 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 134-138-12, 49.3% (-$3,215)
2016 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 148-127-10, 53.8% (+$780)
2017 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 137-140-8, 49.5% (-$4,300)
2018 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 140-134-14, 51.3% (+$845)
2019 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 149-128-9, 53.6% (+$1,200)
2020 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 138-124-7, 52.7% (+$9,350)
2021 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 153-141-2, 51.9% (+$210)
2022 Season NFL Picks Against The Spread: 154-134-8, 53.5% (+$9,860)

2002 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 41-49-2 (45.6%)
2003 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-51-2 (50.5%)
2004 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-44-3 (59.6%)
2005 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 77-61-1 (55.8%)
2006 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 65-61-4 (51.6%)
2007 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 83-59-5, 58.5% (+$4,110)
2008 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-57-3, 43.6% (-$3,510)
2009 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 49-35-3, 58.3% (+$2,260)
2010 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 51-38-4, 57.3% (+$3,180)
2011 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-51-3, 46.3% (-$2,715)
2012 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 45-50-2, 47.4% (-$2,130)
2013 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 38-42, 47.5% (-$2,890)
2015 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-44-1, 51.6% (-$820)
2016 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 42-35-3, 54.5% (+$475)
2017 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 32-40-3, 43.8% (-$2,395)
2018 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 52-41-2, 55.9% (+$2,670)
2019 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 44-36-2, 55.0% (+$655)
2020 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 47-43-3, 52.2% (-$1,965)
2021 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 50-50, 50.0% (-$1,570)
2022 Season 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 56-44-2, 56.0% (+$1,860)

2002 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 11-12 (47.8%)
2003 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 16-13-1 (55.2%)
2004 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 18-11 (62.1%)
2005 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 25-22-1 (53.2%)
2006 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-29-1 (42.0%)
2007 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 35-30-2, 53.8% (+$420)
2008 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 39-26-2, 60.0% (+$4,055)
2009 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 29-26, 52.7% (+$330)
2010 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-22, 59.3% (+$4,790)
2011 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-14, 50.0% (-$1,260)
2012 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 14-21, 40.0% (-$3,650)
2013 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-9-3, 65.4% (+$2,970)
2015 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 17-16-2, 51.5% (-$1,120)
2016 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 21-22-5, 48.8% (-$1,465)
2017 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 20-22-1, 47.6% (-$1,595)
2018 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 27-32-1, 45.8% (-$4,735)
2019 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-27-2, 57.8% (+$2,185)
2020 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 37-22-1, 62.7% (+$5,515)
2021 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 32-32-1, 50.0% (-$725)
2022 Season 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 41-30-1, 57.8% (+$3,725)

2001 Season Over-Under: 3-2 (60.0%)
2002 Season Over-Under: 121-91-3 (57.1%)
2003 Season Over-Under: 126-132-2 (48.8%)
2004 Season Over-Under: 139-124-4 (52.9%)
2005 Season Over-Under: 117-145-4 (44.7%)
2006 Season Over-Under: 129-132-5 (49.4%)
2007 Season Over-Under: 136-145-3, 48.4% (-$1,900)
2008 Season Over-Under: 137-125-6, 52.3% (+$860)
2009 Season Over-Under: 128-135-4, 48.7% (-$3,195)
2010 Season Over-Under: 128-135-5, 48.7% (-$5)
2011 Season Over-Under: 131-131-5, 50.0% (+$135)
2012 Season Over-Under: 125-121-5, 50.8% (+$30)
2013 Season Over-Under: 132-130-5, 50.4% (-$340)
2015 Season Over-Under: 143-119-5, 54.6% ($0)
2016 Season Over-Under: 123-141-1, 46.6% (+$95)
2017 Season Over-Under: 136-139-2, 49.5% (+$640)
2018 Season Over-Under: 118-128-3, 48.0% (-$225)
2019 Season Over-Under: 126-133-4, 48.6% (-$50)
2020 Season Over-Under: 141-122-6, 53.6% ($0)
2021 Season Over-Under: 132-151-3, 46.6% ($0)
2022 Season Over-Under: 133-149-2, 47.2% (-$225)

2007 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,035
2008 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,775
2009 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$865
2010 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$200
2011 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$590
2012 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,685
2013 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$2,245
2015 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$855
2016 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$275
2017 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$510
2018 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$1,495
2019 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: -$1,715
2020 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$4,975
2021 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$3,455
2022 Season Prop/ML/Teaser/Parlay Picks: +$5,720

2006 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3 (50%)
2007 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$400)

2008 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-1, 85.7% (+$3,720)

2009 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$640)

2010 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,810)

2011 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-2, 71.4% (+$1,870)

2012 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$560)

2013 NFL Picks of the Month: 6-0, 100% (+$3,900)

2014 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-4, 33.3% (-$1,350)

2015 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3, 50.0% (-$100)
2016 NFL Picks of the Month: 5-1, 83.3% (+$2,780)

2017 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-2, 66.7% (+$1,040)

2018 NFL Picks of the Month: 4-3, 57.1% (-$640)

2019 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-3-1, 50.0% (-$625)

2020 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-2, 60.0% (+$665)

2021 NFL Picks of the Month: 2-3, 40.0% (-$920)

2022 NFL Picks of the Month: 3-4, 42.9% (-$1,615)

Career NFL Picks Against The Spread: 3,347-3,080-191, 52.1% (+$23,955)
Career 2-3 Unit NFL Picks: 1,079-962-53 (52.9%)
Career 4-5 Unit NFL Picks: 535-470-24 (53.2%)
Career Over-Under: 2,774-2,763-71 (50.1%)

Career Second-Half NFL Picks: 23-16-1 (59.0%)
Career NFL Picks of the Month: 46-33-1 (58.2%)

My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read each team. Pushes are not
displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.

Cowboys: 3-3

Bears: 3-2

Bucs: 2-3

49ers: 5-1

Eagles: 3-2

Lions: 3-3

Falcons: 4-2

Cardinals: 3-3

Giants: 2-4

Packers: 4-1

Panthers: 3-3

Rams: 3-3