As we gear up for another exciting fantasy football season, it’s time to begin preparing for your drafts. Our projections are now available in the Fantasy Football Analytics App, offering metrics like Value Over Replacement (VOR), Drop Off, and Uncertainty to give you the edge in your draft strategy. In this article, we present our top 10 quarterback projections, highlighting three key players—Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Jordan Love—each with unique skills and potential upside.
Josh Allen – Buffalo Bills
2023 StatsTotal PointsAvg. PointsTotal Points RankAvg. Points RankJosh Allen388.622.911ESPN scoring format
2024 ProjectionsPass YardsPass TDINTRush YardsRush TDTotal PointsVORUncertaintyRankJosh Allen4,07129155791035882.3541ESPN scoring format
Why Josh Allen Can Reach His Projection
Josh Allen was a standout performer in 2023, finishing as the overall QB1. His dual-threat capability with both passing and rushing significantly boosts his fantasy production. In 2023, he rushed for 524 yards and 15 touchdowns, underlining his rushing upside. The promotion of Joe Brady to offensive coordinator brings stability and potential growth to Allen’s game, enhancing his fantasy outlook.
Why Josh Allen Might Not Reach His Projection
While Allen’s rushing ability provides a relatively high floor, there is some risk that could prevent him from reaching QB1 status again in 2024. The biggest concern is the turnover at wide receiver for the Bills. With Khalil Shakir as the only returning WR, there is uncertainty about the receiving corps. Despite Shakir showing promise with over 600 yards in 2023, the departure of key players might impact Allen’s passing game.
Joe Burrow – Cincinnati Bengals
2023 StatsTotal PointsAvg. PointsTotal Points RankAvg. Points RankJoe Burrow147.214.72524ESPN scoring format
2024 ProjectionsPass YardsPass TDINTRush YardsRush TDTotal PointsVORUncertaintyRankJoe Burrow4,2523112195330126.168ESPN scoring format
Why Joe Burrow Can Reach His Projection
Joe Burrow has proven himself as a top-tier fantasy quarterback in the past. He finished as QB8 in 2021 and improved to QB4 in 2022, showing the ability to perform at a high level. In Burrow’s final three full games of 2023, he finished as a top-six fantasy QB. His previous success gives confidence that he can reach his projection in 2024 and may come at a great value.
Why Joe Burrow Might Not Reach His Projection
The most significant risk to Burrow’s 2024 season is injury. He is coming off a season-ending wrist injury and has faced multiple injuries since entering the league. Early struggles in 2023 due to a calf injury highlight the potential impact of lingering injuries on his performance, posing a risk to his ability to meet projections in 2024.
Jordan Love – Green Bay Packers
2023 StatsTotal PointsAvg. PointsTotal Points RankAvg. Points RankJordan Love315.118.557ESPN scoring format
2024 ProjectionsPass YardsPass TDINTRush YardsRush TDTotal PointsVORUncertaintyRankJordan Love4,0303011206329418.6579ESPN scoring format
Why Jordan Love Can Reach His Projection
The biggest reason to believe in Jordan Love for 2024 is his strong finish to the 2023 season. Love was the top-scoring fantasy QB from week 11 to the end of the season, closing with three top-three finishes. The Packers’ talented supporting cast and head coach Matt LaFleur’s effective play-calling tailored to Love’s strengths are key factors in his projected success.
Why Jordan Love Might Not Reach His Projection
An inconsistent first half of the season and opponents’ increasing familiarity with Love’s tendencies could challenge his ability to replicate his late-2023 success. While his finish to 2023 was phenomenal, he experienced a stretch of games from week four to week ten in 2023 where he did not finish as a top-12 QB, indicating some bumps in the road for the young QB.
Wrapping Up: Three QBs to Watch this Fantasy Season
In summary, Josh Allen, Joe Burrow, and Jordan Love each bring unique strengths and potential risks to the 2024 fantasy football season. Josh Allen’s dual-threat capability position him as a top QB, despite concerns about his receiving corps. Joe Burrow’s past success as a top-tier fantasy quarterback highlight his potential, though his injury history poses a significant concern. Jordan Love’s strong finish to the 2023 season, but inconsistency and opponents’ increasing familiarity present challenges.
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