NFL Picks (Preseason 2023): 4-7 (-$905)
NFL Picks (Week 1, 2023): 10-6 (+$760)
NFL Picks (Week 2, 2023): 8-7-1 (-$435)
NFL Picks (Week 3, 2023): 12-4 (-$995)
NFL Picks (Week 4, 2023): 6-8-2 (+$440)
NFL Picks (Week 5, 2023): 5-9 (-$2,110)
NFL Picks (Week 6, 2023): 6-8-1 (-$2,230)
NFL Picks (Week 7, 2023): 7-6 (+$30)
NFL Picks (Week 8, 2023): 5-10-1 (-$1,295)
NFL Picks (Week 9, 2023): 5-9 (-$935)
NFL Picks (Week 10, 2023): 7-6 (-$1,230)
NFL Picks (Week 11, 2023): 5-9 ($0)
2023 NFL Picks: 80-89-5 (-$8,905)
NFL Picks (2022): 154-134-8 (+$9,860)
NFL Picks (2021): 144-137-2 (-$5,365)
NFL Picks (2020): 138-124-7 (+$9,350)
NFL Picks (2019): 148-128-9 (+$1,200)
NFL Picks (2018): 140-134-12 (+$845)
NFL Picks (2017): 137-147-10 (-$4,300)
NFL Picks (2016): 148-127-10 (+$780)
NFL Picks (2015): 133-138-10 (-$3,215)
NFL Picks (2014): 143-133-7 (-$1,885)
NFL Picks (2013): 144-131-8 (+$7,825)
NFL Picks (2012): 130-145-8 (-$7,445)
NFL Picks (2011): 137-133-12 (-$1,335)
NFL Picks (2010): 144-131-8 (+$5,880)
NFL Picks (2009): 151-124-9 (+$4,235)
NFL Picks (2008): 136-125-6 (+$6,105)
NFL Picks (2007): 162-135-10 (+$3,585)
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Vegas betting action updated Nov. 13, 1:30 p.m. ET.
Follow @walterfootball for updates.
Go to Week 12 NFL Picks – Late Games
NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 12 Early Games
Green Bay Packers (4-6) at Detroit Lions (8-2)
Line: Lions by 7.5. Total: 46.5.
Thursday, Nov. 23, 12:30 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Lions -7.5.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: Packers.
Decent lean on the Lions.
Percentage of money on Detroit: 65% (14,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Packers.
History: Lions have won the last 4 meetings.
Packers are 62-39 ATS in divisional games since 2006.
Lions are 7-10 ATS as a Thanksgiving host since 2002.
Opening Line: Lions -7.5.
Opening Total: 45.5.
Weather: Dome.
Week 12 NFL Pick:
Washington Redskins (4-6) at Dallas Cowboys (7-3)
Line: Cowboys by 11. Total: 48.5.
Thursday, Nov. 23, 4:30 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Cowboys -9.5.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.
Percentage of money on Dallas: 53% (9,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Redskins.
History: Cowboys have won 10 of the previous 14 meetings.
The underdog is 117-97 ATS in Cowboys games since 2010.
Ron Rivera is 8-3 ATS as a divisional underdog of 7+.
Cowboys are 9-12 ATS as a Thanksgiving host since 2001.
Opening Line: Cowboys -9.5.
Opening Total: 45.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
San Francisco 49ers (7-3) at Seattle Seahawks (6-4)
Line: 49ers by 7. Total: 43.
Thursday, Nov. 23, 8:20 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: 49ers -5.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: Seahawks.
A no-brainer.
Percentage of money on San Francisco: 93% (12,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: None.
History: Seahawks have won 15 of the last 20 meetings.
Brock Purdy is 14-3 SU, 11-6 ATS.
Seahawks are 20-7 ATS as home underdogs since 2009.
Opening Line: 49ers -4.
Opening Total: 44.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
Miami Dolphins (7-3) at New York Jets (4-6)
Line: Dolphins by 8. Total: 43.
Friday, Nov. 24, 3:00 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Dolphins -6.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: Jets.
Easy money to fade the Jets.
Percentage of money on Miami: 93% (6,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: None.
History: Dolphins have won 9 of the last 11 meetings.
Dolphins are 31-44 ATS at home against teams with losing records since 2003. ???
Opening Line: Dolphins -4.
Opening Total: 44.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
Jacksonville Jaguars (7-3) at Houston Texans (6-4)
Line: Jaguars by 1. Total: 47.
Sunday, Nov. 26, 1:00 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Jaguars -1.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: Texans.
Lots of action on the Jaguars.
Percentage of money on Jacksonville: 72% (3,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: None.
History: Texans have won 21 of the last 26 meetings.
Opening Line: Jaguars -1.5.
Opening Total: 45.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-6) at Indianapolis Colts (5-5)
Line: Colts by 2. Total: 43.
Sunday, Nov. 26, 1:00 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Colts -1.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: None.
Equal action.
Percentage of money on Indianapolis: 54% (2,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: None.
Road Team is 128-89 ATS in Buccaneers games since 2009.
Todd Bowles is 2-6 ATS in his second consecutive road game.
Opening Line: Colts -1.
Opening Total: 41.5.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
New England Patriots (2-8) at New York Giants (3-8)
Line: Patriots by 3.5. Total: 33.5.
Sunday, Nov. 26, 1:00 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Patriots -5.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: Patriots.
All aboard the Tommy DeVito bandwagon!
Percentage of money on New York: 94% (4,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Patriots.
Patriots are 29-16 ATS on the road vs. NFC opponents since 2001.
Opening Line: Patriots -3.5.
Opening Total: 34.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
Carolina Panthers (1-9) at Tennessee Titans (3-7)
Line: Titans by 4. Total: 37.
Sunday, Nov. 26, 1:00 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Titans -4.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: Titans.
Slight lean on the Panthers.
Percentage of money on Carolina: 62% (2,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: Titans.
Titans are 29-20 ATS in non-conference home games.
Opening Line: Titans -4.5.
Opening Total: 38.5.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
Pittsburgh Steelers (6-4) at Cincinnati Bengals (5-5)
Line: Steelers by 1. Total: 34.5.
Sunday, Nov. 26, 1:00 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Bengals -5.5.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: Bengals.
Fading Jake Browning feels like a free sportsbook promo.
Percentage of money on Pittsburgh: 93% (4,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: None.
History: Steelers have won 24 of the last 33 meetings (Bengals won 4 of last 5 meetings).
Mike Tomlin is 56-32 ATS as an underdog. ???
Opening Line: Bengals -5.5.
Opening Total: 41.5.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
New Orleans Saints (5-5) at Atlanta Falcons (4-6)
Line: Pick. Total: 42.
Sunday, Nov. 26, 1:00 PM
The Matchup. Edge: .
The Motivation. Edge: .
The Spread. Edge: .
WalterFootball.com Calculated Spread: .
Westgate Advance Point Spread: Pick.
Computer Model: .
The Vegas. Edge: Falcons.
The public loves the Saints.
Percentage of money on New Orleans: 73% (2,000 bets)
The Trends. Edge: None.
History: Saints have won 9 of the last 11 meetings.
Derek Carr is 7-13 ATS as a road favorite. ???
Opening Line: Pick.
Opening Total: 40.5.
Weather: .
Week 12 NFL Pick:
Week 12 NFL Picks – Late Games
Browns at Broncos, Rams at Cardinals, Chiefs at Raiders, Bills at Eagles, Ravens at Chargers, Bears at Vikings
Prop/Teaser/Parlay Picks
A list of some of my favorite team/player prop picks this week
(Offense & defensive ROY picks to be counted
whenever winners are announced.) Picks carried over on a week-to-week basis will be in black.
Prop/teaser/parlay picks posted in Week 12 NFL Picks – Late Games
NFL Picks – Sept. 11
Fantasy Football Rankings – Sept. 7
2024 NFL Mock Draft – July 25
NFL Power Rankings – June 2
My Team-by-Team ATS Record
This section shows how well I do when picking each team this year. The purpose is to see how well I read
each team. Pushes are not
displayed. Winning/losing streak in parentheses.
2003 Preseason:
3 |
4 |
5
2003 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 |
11 |
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
20
|
XXXVIII
2004 Preseason:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
2004 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 |
11 |
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
XXXIX
2005 Preseason:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
2005 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 |
11 |
12
|
13
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14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
XL
2006 Preseason:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
2006 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 |
11 |
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
XLI
2007 Preseason:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
2007 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4
|
5
|
6
|
7
|
8
|
9
|
10 |
11 |
12
|
13
|
14
|
15
|
16
|
17
|
18
|
19
|
20
|
XLII
|
2008 Preseason:
1
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2
|
3
|
4
|
2008 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
XLIII |
2009 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
XLIV |
2010 Preseason:
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
2010 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
XLV |
2011 Preseason:
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
2011 Season:
1
|
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
16 |
17 |
18 |
19 |
20 |
XLVI |
2012 Preseason:
1
|
2
|
3
|
4
|
2012 Season:
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Super Bowl XLVII NFL Pick
2013 Preseason:
1
|
2
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3
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4
|
2013 Season:
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2014 Preseason:
1
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2
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3
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4
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2014 Season:
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Super Bowl XLIX Pick
2015 Preseason:
1
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2
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3
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4
|
2015 Season:
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Super Bowl 50 NFL Pick
2016 Preseason:
1
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2
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3
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4
|
2016 Season:
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Super Bowl LI NFL Pick
2017 Preseason:
1
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2
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3
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4
2017 Season:
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2018 Preseason:
1
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2
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3
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4
2018 Season:
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2019 Preseason:
1
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2
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3
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4
2019 Season:
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2020 Season:
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2021 Season:
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